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CD Q&A Author: Hans Goldstein, NPN 20602398 Last updated: 2026-06-27

CD Barbell Strategy — When Skipping the Middle Wins

TL;DR

A CD barbell allocates 40-60% of principal to short-term CDs (3-12 months) and the remainder to long-term CDs (5+ years), skipping the 2- to 4-year middle entirely. The strategy outperforms a traditional ladder when the yield curve is inverted or flat. On $200,000 split 50-50, the barbell yields a blended ~4.65% vs a ladder's ~4.48%. The MYGA-anchored barbell yields ~5.10% blended.

The thesis in one sentence

When the middle of the yield curve pays less than both the short end and the long end, allocating to the middle is paying tuition for nothing. The barbell takes the two highest-yielding points and ignores the rest.

What the 2026 curve looks like

Indicative best-available CD APYs as of mid-2026:

TermBest APYCurve shape note
3-month4.75%Anchored near Fed Funds
6-month4.70%Slight discount
1-year4.70%Flat to 6-month
2-year4.45%Belly discount
3-year4.30%Lowest point
4-year4.40%Recovering
5-year4.55%Term premium
5-yr MYGA5.55%Insurance-side premium

The 3-year is the worst-yielding point on the bank-CD curve. A ladder that allocates 20 percent of principal there is, by construction, dragging blended yield down. The barbell avoids this entirely.

Worked example: $200,000 at 50-50

Split: $100,000 into a 6-month CD at 4.70 percent, $100,000 into a 5-year CD at 4.55 percent.

Blended 5-year math. The short rung rolls 10 times over 5 years; assume reinvestment at the same 4.70 percent (rate-flat scenario). The long rung locks at 4.55 percent for the full period.

Comparison: traditional 5-rung ladder on $200,000. $40K each at 4.70 / 4.45 / 4.30 / 4.40 / 4.55. Assuming flat reinvestment at the same rates, total interest over 5 years is approximately $48,300. Blended yield: ~4.48 percent.

Comparison: 3-year bullet on $200,000. Locked at 4.30 percent for 3 years, then forced to reinvest at the unknown year-3 rate. Year 1 to 3 interest: $26,900. The reinvestment risk in years 4 and 5 is unhedged.

Comparison: MYGA-anchored barbell. $100,000 in 6-month T-bills rolling at 4.85 percent, $100,000 in a 5-year MYGA at 5.55 percent.

The MYGA-anchored barbell adds $7,000 of interest over 5 years versus a CD-only barbell on the same $200,000 starting principal, plus tax-deferred compounding on the long side.

Why the barbell works on an inverted curve

Inverted curves penalize the middle. A flat or slightly inverted curve in mid-2026 (3-year at 4.30 percent versus 6-month at 4.70 percent and 5-year at 4.55 percent) means the middle terms are charging you yield for taking on more duration risk than the short end without compensating you for the additional lock-up.

If you believe the Fed will hold or cut, the long end locks the current rate before it can drop. If you believe the Fed will hike, the short end rolls into the new higher rate within months. The middle does neither. It is the worst of both worlds when the curve is flat or inverted.

Weighting the two ends

The split between short and long is the only real decision in barbell construction. Three common weightings:

WeightingShort / LongBest for
Liquidity-tilt60% / 40%Emergency-fund buyers; uncertain near-term cash needs
Balanced50% / 50%Generic conservative income; default for most retirees
Yield-tilt30% / 70%Maximum blended yield; bets on stable or falling rates

The yield-tilt is mechanically the highest-yielding because the long end out-yields the short end by 100+ bps when you replace the long CD with a MYGA. The liquidity-tilt is for buyers who suspect they may need access within 12 months.

When this beats simpler approaches

When simpler is better

Where a MYGA replaces the long end

The single highest-leverage change to a CD barbell is replacing the long-end CD with a MYGA. The MYGA pays 80 to 110 bps more yield, defers tax on the credited interest, and (unlike a long CD) typically allows 10 percent annual penalty-free withdrawal after year 1.

The trade is FDIC insurance versus state guaranty association coverage, plus the surrender schedule. For long-horizon money where you have no realistic plan to break the lock, the MYGA is the better instrument. See our CD ladder vs MYGA ladder analysis for the side-by-side math.

Operational checklist

  1. Confirm the curve is flat or inverted before committing to a barbell. If the 3-year out-yields the 6-month by 25+ bps, use a ladder instead.
  2. Split principal 50-50 as the default. Adjust to 30-70 long-tilt only if you are comfortable with the longer lock.
  3. Use a top-yielding online bank or T-bills for the short end; minimum-deposit thresholds matter at the small end.
  4. Use a MYGA from an A-rated carrier for the long end if the long-CD spread to the MYGA is more than 60 bps (it almost always is in 2026).
  5. Re-evaluate the short-end roll every maturity. If 6-month yields drop below the 5-year, consider extending the rolling short rung.

Related strategy guides

Frequently asked follow-up questions

What is a CD barbell?
A CD barbell splits principal between very short-term CDs (3 to 12 months) and long-term CDs (5 years or more), skipping the 2- to 4-year middle. The short end gives liquidity and rate flexibility, the long end locks today's higher rate for years.
Why skip the middle?
When the yield curve is inverted or flat, the 2- to 4-year terms often yield less than both the 1-year and the 5-year. Allocating to them is paying a yield penalty for an in-between duration that captures neither liquidity nor the long-term lock.
How is a barbell different from a ladder?
A ladder spreads principal evenly across every term from 1 to 5 years. A barbell concentrates at the extremes, typically 50 percent short and 50 percent long, or 40-60 weighted toward the long end.
Does a barbell work in normal rate environments?
Less well. A normal-sloped curve rewards every additional year of duration with more yield, which favors a ladder or a long bullet. The barbell is purpose-built for inverted or flat curves.
What weight should I give the long end?
If your priority is liquidity, 50-50. If your priority is rate certainty, 30-70 in favor of the long end. The long end is doing the yield-capture work; the short end is doing the optionality work.
Can I run a barbell with a MYGA?
Yes, and it often improves the math. Short end in a high-yield savings account or 6-month T-bill, long end in a 5- or 7-year MYGA. The MYGA replaces the long CD with higher yield and tax deferral.
Is a barbell more tax-efficient than a ladder?
Slightly. Fewer reinvestment events mean fewer 1099-INTs of varying size, but both are taxed annually on credited interest. The MYGA-anchored version is materially more tax-efficient because the long-end interest defers.
When should I not use a barbell?
If you cannot tolerate locking principal for 5+ years, if you have less than $50K to allocate (the strategy needs scale to work), or if the curve is normal-sloped and rising.

Hans Goldstein, NPN 20602398

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Disclosure

This article reflects publicly available CD, savings, and annuity rate information approximate to the date above. Rates change frequently — often weekly. Always confirm current rates directly with the institution before opening, renewing, or transferring. This is general educational content, not a personalized recommendation, solicitation, or offer of any specific product. Hans Goldstein is an independent licensed insurance producer (NPN 20602398) appointed with multiple A-rated carriers in the fixed-annuity market; Goldstein & Co. LLC is not a bank, broker-dealer, or registered investment adviser. CDs are deposit products of FDIC-insured banks or NCUA-insured credit unions; annuities are insurance contracts backed by the issuing carrier and state guaranty associations. FDIC and NCUA insurance limits are typically $250,000 per depositor per institution per ownership category. Tax discussion reflects federal law as of 2026 and is subject to change; consult a tax professional for your situation.

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