Short answer
Compare the monthly check with what the lump sum would buy. Get an immediate annuity quote for the lump sum amount, with the same survivor option: if the insurer pays more per month than the pension, the lump sum wins on income; if the pension pays more, or it has a cost-of-living adjustment, the monthly payment usually wins.
Lean toward the monthly pension if you are healthy, married and your spouse needs the survivor benefit, or you would be tempted to spend a lump sum. Lean toward the lump sum if your health is poor, there is no COLA, or you want money left for heirs. If you take the lump sum, roll it directly to an IRA so the plan does not withhold 20% for tax.
TL;DR: The pension buyout (lump sum) wins when: (1) the employer's monthly offer is below the implied SPIA rate for your age, (2) there's no COLA, (3) you have above-average longevity uncertainty, (4) you want IRA flexibility or legacy planning. The monthly wins when: COLA is full, you live well past 85, your spouse depends on survivor benefits, or you don't trust yourself with a lump sum. Below: IRR tables by age and plan type showing when each option wins.
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The employer presents two numbers: lump sum X, or monthly Y for life. To compare:
| Age | Plan offers monthly | Lump sum offer | Implied employer IRR | Commercial SPIA equivalent | Better choice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | $3,000/mo single life no COLA | $500,000 | ~5.4% | $2,750/mo at same premium (SPIA) | Monthly |
| 65 | $3,500/mo single life no COLA | $500,000 | ~6.6% | $3,250/mo at same premium | Monthly (slight) |
| 65 | $3,000/mo joint 50% no COLA | $500,000 | ~5.6% | $3,100/mo single + $14K life ins | Lump sum, run "pension max" |
| 67 | $4,000/mo single life no COLA | $500,000 | ~7.7% | $3,650/mo at same premium | Monthly |
| 70 | $4,000/mo single life no COLA | $500,000 | ~7.9% | $3,550/mo (M70) at same premium | Monthly |
| 65 | $3,000/mo single life w/ 3% COLA | $500,000 | ~7.5% (real value) | $3,250/mo no COLA | Monthly (COLA decisive) |
| 62 | $2,500/mo single life no COLA | $500,000 | ~4.2% | $2,750/mo SPIA at premium | Lump sum → SPIA wins |
| 55 | $2,000/mo single life no COLA (deferred to 65) | $300,000 | ~4.8% | MYGA at 5.95% then SPIA at 65 = $3,200/mo | Lump sum → MYGA ladder |
Patterns:
A common situation: 58-year-old offered $400,000 lump sum or $2,000/month single life starting at 65. Most buyers take the monthly. The MYGA rollover often crushes both:
The MYGA ladder + delayed SPIA approach more than doubles the income because: (1) commercial SPIA rates beat employer pension actuarial assumptions, (2) tax-deferred MYGA growth beats the employer's implicit discount rate, (3) delaying SPIA to 68 captures more mortality credit than starting at 65.
Academic studies consistently find that 25-40% of lump-sum recipients deplete the money within 10 years of receipt. If you suspect you'd be one of them, take the monthly. It's a forced savings mechanism.
| Source of income | Backed by | 2026 limit |
|---|---|---|
| Private corporate pension (monthly) | PBGC | ~$7,107/mo at age 65 for retirees |
| Multi-employer union pension | PBGC (different limit) | ~$12,870/yr per year of service |
| State / municipal pension | State law / pension trust funding | Varies; no federal backstop |
| Federal pension (FERS, military) | U.S. Treasury | Unlimited |
| Commercial SPIA from A-rated carrier | State guaranty fund | $250-300K per owner per carrier |
For underfunded private corporate pensions where the PBGC cap may bind, the lump sum + SPIA route can actually offer MORE protection than the monthly pension. Split $500K across two A+ carriers and you're fully covered ($250K each); a $500K private pension monthly stream exceeding the PBGC cap has unsecured exposure.
The tax flexibility argument favors lump sum when the buyer wants to: (1) execute Roth conversions in low-income years, (2) make qualified charitable distributions, (3) bunch deductions, (4) optimize for IRMAA thresholds. Pension monthly forces the income flow whether you want it or not.
Independent review of your specific decision.
Your employer's actuary uses one set of assumptions. Commercial SPIA carriers use different ones, often more favorable to the buyer. Get an independent IRR analysis comparing your specific lump sum offer to the commercial SPIA equivalent at your age, plus a MYGA rollover model if delayed annuitization makes sense.
Rather talk it through? Or book 15 minutes on Hans’s calendar, or call 213-414-2808.
Hans Goldstein · 213-414-2808 · NPN 20602398, independent licensed insurance producer appointed with multiple A-rated carriers
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About Hans Goldstein: Independent retirement income specialist. CA Life License #4273294. NPN #20602398. Phone: 213-414-2808. Email: hans@hansgoldstein.com.
This article reflects publicly available product materials, carrier rate sheets, and approximate rates and tax law as of the date stated above. Annuity rates, caps, participation rates, payout factors, crediting methods, commission structures, and pension regulations change frequently. Always confirm current values against the most recent carrier disclosure document, plan summary, and actual contract before making any decision. This is general education, not a personal recommendation or an offer of any product. Hans Goldstein is an independent licensed insurance producer (NPN 20602398) appointed with multiple A-rated carriers across the annuity and long-term care insurance market; producer's specific appointment status with any carrier discussed may vary, and discussion of any carrier is not an endorsement or representation of carrier appointment. No compensation has been received from any carrier in connection with the publication of this article. Always read the actual contract, summary plan description, or pension election form, and consult a licensed advisor and tax professional before purchasing any annuity, accepting a pension election, or executing a rollover. Annuities are long-term contracts with surrender charges and are not suitable for funds you may need before the end of the surrender period. Tax discussion reflects federal tax law as of 2026 and is subject to change. State tax treatment varies. PBGC coverage limits and pension plan termination rules are set by federal statute and may change.
Hans Goldstein is an Enrolled Agent, admitted to practice before the Internal Revenue Service. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the IRS. General education, not tax or legal advice for your situation.